New frontrunner?

I'd say so. I just saw that The King's Speech director, Tom Hooper, won the DGA. We'll see what happens at the SAG Awards tonight. I'm predicting The Fighter to win Best Ensemble. That scenario really wouldn't change things. If The Social Network wins, I'd say we have an exciting two-horse race. If The King's Speech wins, then it's definitely on its way to winning Best Picture at the Oscars.